The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Air Water Inc.'s (TSE:4088) Earnings Yet
When close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 15x, you may consider Air Water Inc. (TSE:4088) as an attractive investment with its 10.1x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Recent earnings growth for Air Water has been in line with the market. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this modest earnings performance may begin to slide. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Air Water
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Air Water's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 7.9% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 22% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 7.5% per year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 9.5% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Air Water is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Air Water's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Air Water, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4088
Air Water
Engages in manufacturing selling products and services related to industrial gas, chemical, medical, energy, agriculture and food products, logistics, seawater, and other businesses in Japan.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record and pays a dividend.
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