Stock Analysis
Vital KSK Holdings, Inc. (TSE:3151) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥22.00 per share on the 5th of June. The yield is still above the industry average at 3.5%.
See our latest analysis for Vital KSK Holdings
Vital KSK Holdings' Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Based on the last payment, Vital KSK Holdings was earning enough to cover the dividend, but free cash flows weren't positive. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.
Over the next year, EPS could expand by 6.9% if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 36% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥16.00 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥43.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10% a year over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.
The Dividend Has Growth Potential
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Vital KSK Holdings has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 6.9% per annum. With a decent amount of growth and a low payout ratio, we think this bodes well for Vital KSK Holdings' prospects of growing its dividend payments in the future.
In Summary
In summary, dividends being cut isn't ideal, however it can bring the payment into a more sustainable range. While Vital KSK Holdings is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for Vital KSK Holdings that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:3151
Vital KSK Holdings
Engages in the wholesale and retail sale of pharmaceutical products in Japan.