Stock Analysis

Japan Oil Transportation (TSE:9074) Could Be A Buy For Its Upcoming Dividend

Published
TSE:9074

Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that Japan Oil Transportation Co., Ltd. (TSE:9074) is about to go ex-dividend in just three days. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. Accordingly, Japan Oil Transportation investors that purchase the stock on or after the 27th of September will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 27th of November.

The company's upcoming dividend is JP¥50.00 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of JP¥100.00 per share to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Japan Oil Transportation has a trailing yield of 3.4% on the current stock price of JP¥2906.00. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Japan Oil Transportation's dividend is reliable and sustainable. So we need to investigate whether Japan Oil Transportation can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

View our latest analysis for Japan Oil Transportation

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. That's why it's good to see Japan Oil Transportation paying out a modest 26% of its earnings. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. It paid out 14% of its free cash flow as dividends last year, which is conservatively low.

It's encouraging to see that the dividend is covered by both profit and cash flow. This generally suggests the dividend is sustainable, as long as earnings don't drop precipitously.

Click here to see how much of its profit Japan Oil Transportation paid out over the last 12 months.

TSE:9074 Historic Dividend September 23rd 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Stocks in companies that generate sustainable earnings growth often make the best dividend prospects, as it is easier to lift the dividend when earnings are rising. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. With that in mind, we're encouraged by the steady growth at Japan Oil Transportation, with earnings per share up 8.9% on average over the last five years. The company is retaining more than half of its earnings within the business, and it has been growing earnings at a decent rate. We think this is generally an attractive combination, as dividends can grow through a combination of earnings growth and or a higher payout ratio over time.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. In the last 10 years, Japan Oil Transportation has lifted its dividend by approximately 3.6% a year on average. We're glad to see dividends rising alongside earnings over a number of years, which may be a sign the company intends to share the growth with shareholders.

To Sum It Up

Is Japan Oil Transportation an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? Earnings per share growth has been growing somewhat, and Japan Oil Transportation is paying out less than half its earnings and cash flow as dividends. This is interesting for a few reasons, as it suggests management may be reinvesting heavily in the business, but it also provides room to increase the dividend in time. We would prefer to see earnings growing faster, but the best dividend stocks over the long term typically combine significant earnings per share growth with a low payout ratio, and Japan Oil Transportation is halfway there. It's a promising combination that should mark this company worthy of closer attention.

So while Japan Oil Transportation looks good from a dividend perspective, it's always worthwhile being up to date with the risks involved in this stock. For example - Japan Oil Transportation has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.