Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Ain Holdings Inc.'s (TSE:9627) Price

Published
TSE:9627

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.3x Ain Holdings Inc. (TSE:9627) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios under 14x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Recent times have been advantageous for Ain Holdings as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Ain Holdings

TSE:9627 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 13th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Ain Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Growth For Ain Holdings?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Ain Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 23%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 72% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 4.2% each year during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 9.6% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it concerning that Ain Holdings is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Ain Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Ain Holdings with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If you're unsure about the strength of Ain Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.