Stock Analysis

Seven & i Holdings (TSE:3382) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

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TSE:3382

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:3382) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Seven & i Holdings

What Is Seven & i Holdings's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Seven & i Holdings had JP¥2.78t of debt at February 2024, down from JP¥3.09t a year prior. However, it also had JP¥1.56t in cash, and so its net debt is JP¥1.22t.

TSE:3382 Debt to Equity History June 18th 2024

A Look At Seven & i Holdings' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Seven & i Holdings had liabilities of JP¥3.07t due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥3.62t due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥1.56t and JP¥553.3b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total JP¥4.58t more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of JP¥5.18t, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Seven & i Holdings' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Seven & i Holdings has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.2. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 18.2 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. The good news is that Seven & i Holdings has increased its EBIT by 5.5% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Seven & i Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Seven & i Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 73% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Both Seven & i Holdings's ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. On the other hand, its level of total liabilities makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Seven & i Holdings is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Seven & i Holdings you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.