Stock Analysis
TRE Holdings Corporation (TSE:9247) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥20.00 per share on the 26th of June. This makes the dividend yield 2.6%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
Check out our latest analysis for TRE Holdings
TRE Holdings' Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. TRE Holdings is quite easily earning enough to cover the dividend, however it is being let down by weak cash flows. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 6.4% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 32%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
TRE Holdings Is Still Building Its Track Record
The dividend has been pretty stable looking back, but the company hasn't been paying one for very long. This makes it tough to judge how it would fare through a full economic cycle. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥20.00 in 2022 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥40.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 41% over that duration. TRE Holdings has been growing its dividend quite rapidly, which is exciting. However, the short payment history makes us question whether this performance will persist across a full market cycle.
The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. However, TRE Holdings' EPS was effectively flat over the past five years, which could stop the company from paying more every year. If TRE Holdings is struggling to find viable investments, it always has the option to increase its payout ratio to pay more to shareholders.
In Summary
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. While TRE Holdings is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for TRE Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9247
TRE Holdings
Through its subsidiaries, engages in the waste treatment and recycling businesses in Japan.