Stock Analysis

Is Nichiban (TSE:4218) Using Too Much Debt?

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TSE:4218

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Nichiban Co., Ltd. (TSE:4218) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Nichiban

What Is Nichiban's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Nichiban had JP¥2.63b of debt in March 2024, down from JP¥3.97b, one year before. But on the other hand it also has JP¥13.4b in cash, leading to a JP¥10.8b net cash position.

TSE:4218 Debt to Equity History August 6th 2024

How Healthy Is Nichiban's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Nichiban had liabilities of JP¥16.9b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥9.46b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥13.4b in cash and JP¥15.3b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has JP¥2.39b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that Nichiban has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Nichiban boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Another good sign is that Nichiban has been able to increase its EBIT by 29% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Nichiban can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Nichiban has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Nichiban created free cash flow amounting to 10% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Nichiban has JP¥10.8b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And we liked the look of last year's 29% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Nichiban's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Nichiban you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nichiban might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.