Stock Analysis

Is Tokyo Sangyo (TSE:8070) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

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TSE:8070

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Tokyo Sangyo Co., Ltd. (TSE:8070) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Tokyo Sangyo

What Is Tokyo Sangyo's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Tokyo Sangyo had JP¥19.7b of debt, up from JP¥16.2b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of JP¥11.3b, its net debt is less, at about JP¥8.40b.

TSE:8070 Debt to Equity History August 6th 2024

How Strong Is Tokyo Sangyo's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Tokyo Sangyo had liabilities of JP¥51.8b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥9.09b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had JP¥11.3b in cash and JP¥28.5b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by JP¥21.2b.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of JP¥16.1b, we think shareholders really should watch Tokyo Sangyo's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Tokyo Sangyo will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Tokyo Sangyo saw its revenue hold pretty steady, and it did not report positive earnings before interest and tax. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Tokyo Sangyo produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable JP¥2.4b at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of JP¥444m over the last twelve months. That means it's on the risky side of things. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Tokyo Sangyo that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tokyo Sangyo might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.