Stock Analysis

Ushio Inc. Just Beat EPS By 315%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Published
TSE:6925

As you might know, Ushio Inc. (TSE:6925) recently reported its quarterly numbers. It looks to have been a decent result overall - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at JP¥42b, statutory earnings beat expectations by a notable 315%, coming in at JP¥35.27 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

See our latest analysis for Ushio

TSE:6925 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 11th 2025

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Ushio from four analysts is for revenues of JP¥181.3b in 2026. If met, it would imply a reasonable 3.6% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to bounce 33% to JP¥112. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of JP¥181.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥108 in 2026. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

The consensus price target was unchanged at JP¥2,108, implying that the improved earnings outlook is not expected to have a long term impact on value creation for shareholders. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on Ushio, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at JP¥2,400 and the most bearish at JP¥1,800 per share. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggeststhe analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Ushio's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2026 expected to display 2.9% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 6.3% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 4.1% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Ushio.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Ushio's earnings potential next year. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Ushio. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Ushio going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Ushio that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.