Stock Analysis
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, THK Co., Ltd. (TSE:6481) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
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How Much Debt Does THK Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that THK had JP¥95.9b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. But it also has JP¥137.0b in cash to offset that, meaning it has JP¥41.1b net cash.
How Strong Is THK's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that THK had liabilities of JP¥77.7b due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥96.4b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥137.0b in cash and JP¥79.9b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast JP¥42.8b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This short term liquidity is a sign that THK could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, THK boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
In fact THK's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 46% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine THK's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While THK has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, THK's free cash flow amounted to 21% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case THK has JP¥41.1b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with THK's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for THK you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6481
THK
Engages in the manufacture and sale of mechanical components worldwide.