Stock Analysis

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Amada Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:6113) Earnings Yet As Shares Tumble 30%

Published
TSE:6113

The Amada Co., Ltd. (TSE:6113) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 30%. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 4.7% over that longer period.

Even after such a large drop in price, given about half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 14x, you may still consider Amada as an attractive investment with its 10.8x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Amada has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Amada

TSE:6113 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 5th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Amada's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For Amada?

Amada's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 21%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 128% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 5.9% per annum during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 9.6% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Amada's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

The softening of Amada's shares means its P/E is now sitting at a pretty low level. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Amada's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Amada that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Amada's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.