Stock Analysis
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Nichias Corporation (TSE:5393) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Nichias
What Is Nichias's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Nichias had debt of JP¥14.8b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from JP¥23.6b over a year. But on the other hand it also has JP¥62.4b in cash, leading to a JP¥47.5b net cash position.
How Strong Is Nichias' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Nichias had liabilities of JP¥63.9b due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥13.9b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥62.4b as well as receivables valued at JP¥69.8b due within 12 months. So it can boast JP¥54.4b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This short term liquidity is a sign that Nichias could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Nichias boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
Another good sign is that Nichias has been able to increase its EBIT by 20% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Nichias can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Nichias has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Nichias recorded free cash flow of 35% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Nichias has JP¥47.5b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And we liked the look of last year's 20% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Nichias's use of debt is risky. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Nichias's earnings per share history for free.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:5393
Nichias
Manufactures and sells thermal insulation materials primarily in Japan.