What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Hera (BIT:HER) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Hera:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.062 = €518m ÷ (€15b - €7.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).
So, Hera has an ROCE of 6.2%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 6.1%.
See our latest analysis for Hera
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Hera compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Hera here for free.
So How Is Hera's ROCE Trending?
The returns on capital haven't changed much for Hera in recent years. The company has employed 36% more capital in the last five years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 6.2%. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.
On another note, while the change in ROCE trend might not scream for attention, it's interesting that the current liabilities have actually gone up over the last five years. This is intriguing because if current liabilities hadn't increased to 46% of total assets, this reported ROCE would probably be less than6.2% because total capital employed would be higher.The 6.2% ROCE could be even lower if current liabilities weren't 46% of total assets, because the the formula would show a larger base of total capital employed. So with current liabilities at such high levels, this effectively means the likes of suppliers or short-term creditors are funding a meaningful part of the business, which in some instances can bring some risks.
The Bottom Line On Hera's ROCE
In summary, Hera has simply been reinvesting capital and generating the same low rate of return as before. Unsurprisingly then, the total return to shareholders over the last five years has been flat. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
Hera does come with some risks though, we found 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...
While Hera may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:HER
Hera
A multi-utility company, engages in the waste management, water services, and energy businesses in Italy.
Good value average dividend payer.