Stock Analysis

Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of ENAV S.p.A. (BIT:ENAV) After Its Third-Quarter Report

Published
BIT:ENAV

The quarterly results for ENAV S.p.A. (BIT:ENAV) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its performance. The result was fairly weak overall, with revenues of €309m being 2.5% less than what the analysts had been modelling. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for ENAV

BIT:ENAV Earnings and Revenue Growth November 17th 2024

After the latest results, the six analysts covering ENAV are now predicting revenues of €1.07b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a credible 4.5% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €1.07b and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.25 in 2025. So we can see that while the consensus made no real change to its revenue estimates, it also no longer provides an earnings per share estimate. This suggests that revenues are what the market is focusing on after the latest results.

We'd also point out that thatthe analysts have made no major changes to their price target of €4.82. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values ENAV at €5.30 per share, while the most bearish prices it at €4.40. With such a narrow range of valuations, the analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that ENAV's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 3.5% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 4.9% over the past five years. Compare this to the 6 other companies in this industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenue at 3.8% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it looks like ENAV is forecast to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The clear take away from these updates is that the analysts made no change to their revenue estimates for next year, with the business apparently performing in line with their models. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. The consensus price target held steady at €4.82, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

We have estimates for ENAV from its six analysts out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for ENAV you should be aware of.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if ENAV might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.