Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, NVP S.p.A. (BIT:NVP) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for NVP
What Is NVP's Net Debt?
As you can see below, NVP had €5.38m of debt at June 2020, down from €7.09m a year prior. On the flip side, it has €3.34m in cash leading to net debt of about €2.03m.
A Look At NVP's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that NVP had liabilities of €4.16m due within a year, and liabilities of €7.66m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €3.34m as well as receivables valued at €5.91m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €2.56m.
Given NVP has a market capitalization of €22.6m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is NVP's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, NVP saw its revenue hold pretty steady, and it did not report positive earnings before interest and tax. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months NVP produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at €863k. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through €4.4m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that NVP is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those can't be ignored...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About BIT:NVP
Moderate with reasonable growth potential.