Stock Analysis

With A 26% Price Drop For Davide Campari-Milano N.V. (BIT:CPR) You'll Still Get What You Pay For

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BIT:CPR

Davide Campari-Milano N.V. (BIT:CPR) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 44% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies in Italy have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may still consider Davide Campari-Milano as a stock to avoid entirely with its 22.4x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Davide Campari-Milano's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Davide Campari-Milano

BIT:CPR Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 17th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Davide Campari-Milano will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Davide Campari-Milano's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 15%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 18% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 14% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Davide Campari-Milano's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Davide Campari-Milano's P/E

Davide Campari-Milano's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Davide Campari-Milano's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware Davide Campari-Milano is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those can't be ignored.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.