Saipem Valuation

Is SPM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SPM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SPM (€1.99) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SPM is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SPM?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SPM key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.2x
PEG Ratio0.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SPM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SPM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.5x
TEN Tenaris
6.4x-8.5%€16.1b
YRM Rosetti Marino
19.4x16.2%€165.7m
002353 Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group
12.7x16.6%CN¥31.8b
DIS d'Amico International Shipping
3.4x-39.7%€670.6m
SPM Saipem
14.8x24.1%€3.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SPM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x) compared to the peer average (10.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SPM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Energy Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SPM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x) compared to the European Energy Services industry average (9.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SPM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SPM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.8x
Fair PE Ratio14.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SPM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SPM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.99
€2.89
+45.3%
11.7%€3.40€2.10n/a17
Oct ’25€2.00
€2.89
+44.3%
11.6%€3.40€2.10n/a17
Sep ’25€2.03
€2.87
+41.3%
12.0%€3.40€2.10n/a18
Aug ’25€2.18
€2.88
+32.1%
11.7%€3.40€2.10n/a19
Jul ’25€2.40
€2.81
+17.3%
12.7%€3.20€2.00n/a18
Jun ’25€2.29
€2.74
+19.9%
14.3%€3.20€2.00n/a18
May ’25€2.16
€2.74
+26.6%
14.3%€3.20€2.00n/a18
Apr ’25€2.26
€2.60
+14.8%
16.4%€3.14€1.65n/a17
Mar ’25€1.82
€2.32
+27.6%
15.0%€3.00€1.65n/a17
Feb ’25€1.34
€2.23
+66.7%
17.6%€3.00€1.40n/a16
Jan ’25€1.47
€2.24
+52.1%
17.3%€3.00€1.40n/a16
Dec ’24€1.51
€2.24
+48.3%
17.3%€3.00€1.40n/a16
Nov ’24€1.45
€2.23
+53.8%
17.2%€3.00€1.40n/a16
Oct ’24€1.45
€2.14
+48.3%
18.1%€2.90€1.40€2.0013
Sep ’24€1.50
€2.14
+42.6%
19.0%€2.90€1.40€2.0312
Aug ’24€1.45
€1.99
+37.0%
19.5%€2.57€1.23€2.1814
Jul ’24€1.28
€1.93
+51.6%
18.7%€2.50€1.23€2.4013
Jun ’24€1.21
€1.93
+60.2%
18.7%€2.50€1.23€2.2913
May ’24€1.39
€1.94
+40.0%
18.0%€2.50€1.23€2.1614
Apr ’24€1.38
€1.81
+30.7%
16.9%€2.20€1.23€2.2614
Mar ’24€1.53
€2.03
+32.2%
45.8%€5.20€1.23€1.8214
Feb ’24€1.39
€1.89
+35.9%
51.0%€5.20€1.23€1.3414
Jan ’24€1.13
€1.65
+46.7%
63.7%€5.20€0.70€1.4714
Dec ’23€1.02
€1.65
+62.3%
63.7%€5.20€0.70€1.5114
Nov ’23€0.98
€5.13
+422.4%
219.4%€40.48€0.70€1.4511
Oct ’23€0.64
€5.54
+768.2%
202.6%€40.48€0.70€1.4511

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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