Stock Analysis
Interpump Group S.p.A. (BIT:IP) Just Reported Earnings, And Analysts Cut Their Target Price
There's been a notable change in appetite for Interpump Group S.p.A. (BIT:IP) shares in the week since its yearly report, with the stock down 14% to €38.76. It was a credible result overall, with revenues of €2.1b and statutory earnings per share of €2.12 both in line with analyst estimates, showing that Interpump Group is executing in line with expectations. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
Check out our latest analysis for Interpump Group
Following last week's earnings report, Interpump Group's seven analysts are forecasting 2025 revenues to be €2.09b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are expected to reduce 3.2% to €2.06 in the same period. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €2.19b and earnings per share (EPS) of €2.40 in 2025. The analysts seem less optimistic after the recent results, reducing their revenue forecasts and making a substantial drop in earnings per share numbers.
It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 8.4% to €43.76. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Interpump Group analyst has a price target of €50.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €40.00. With such a narrow range of valuations, the analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that Interpump Group's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 0.5% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 13% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 5.3% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Interpump Group.
The Bottom Line
The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Interpump Group. On the negative side, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Interpump Group's future valuation.
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Interpump Group going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.
And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Interpump Group you should know about.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:IP
Interpump Group
Engages in the manufacturing and selling of high-pressure pumps in Italy, Europe, North America, Pacific area, and internationally.