Stock Analysis

Investors one-year losses continue as Piaggio & C (BIT:PIA) dips a further 5.2% this week, earnings continue to decline

Published
BIT:PIA

Passive investing in an index fund is a good way to ensure your own returns roughly match the overall market. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. Unfortunately the Piaggio & C. SpA (BIT:PIA) share price slid 24% over twelve months. That's well below the market return of 22%. At least the damage isn't so bad if you look at the last three years, since the stock is down 16% in that time. On top of that, the share price is down 5.2% in the last week.

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

See our latest analysis for Piaggio & C

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Unhappily, Piaggio & C had to report a 11% decline in EPS over the last year. The share price decline of 24% is actually more than the EPS drop. Unsurprisingly, given the lack of EPS growth, the market seems to be more cautious about the stock. The P/E ratio of 11.22 also points to the negative market sentiment.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

BIT:PIA Earnings Per Share Growth July 12th 2024

It is of course excellent to see how Piaggio & C has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. Take a more thorough look at Piaggio & C's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Piaggio & C the TSR over the last 1 year was -19%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Investors in Piaggio & C had a tough year, with a total loss of 19% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 22%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 6% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Piaggio & C better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Piaggio & C that you should be aware of before investing here.

We will like Piaggio & C better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Italian exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.