Stock Analysis

Even With A 53% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Askoll EVA SpA's (BIT:EVA) Performance Completely

BIT:EVA
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Askoll EVA SpA (BIT:EVA) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 53% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 43% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Askoll EVA's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Italy's Auto industry is similar at about 0.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Askoll EVA

ps-multiple-vs-industry
BIT:EVA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 3rd 2024

What Does Askoll EVA's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Askoll EVA hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Askoll EVA's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Askoll EVA?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Askoll EVA's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 27%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 5.1% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 30% each year over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 3.5% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Askoll EVA's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Askoll EVA's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Askoll EVA currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

Having said that, be aware Askoll EVA is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those can't be ignored.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.