Stock Analysis

Mahanagar Gas (NSE:MGL) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To ₹16.00

NSEI:MGL
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Mahanagar Gas Limited (NSE:MGL) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 23rd of September to ₹16.00. This takes the annual payment to 2.4% of the current stock price, which is about average for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Mahanagar Gas

Mahanagar Gas' Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. Based on the last payment, Mahanagar Gas was paying only paying out a fraction of earnings, but the payment was a massive 100% of cash flows. The business might be trying to strike a balance between returning cash to shareholders and reinvesting back into the business, but this high of a payout ratio could definitely force the dividend to be cut if the company runs into a bit of a tough spot.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 20.6%. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 30% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
NSEI:MGL Historic Dividend August 3rd 2023

Mahanagar Gas Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

Even though the company has been paying a consistent dividend for a while, we would like to see a few more years before we feel comfortable relying on it. Since 2016, the annual payment back then was ₹10.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ₹26.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 15% per annum over that time. The dividend has been growing rapidly, however with such a short payment history we can't know for sure if payment can continue to grow over the long term, so caution may be warranted.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Mahanagar Gas has impressed us by growing EPS at 11% per year over the past five years. A low payout ratio and decent growth suggests that the company is reinvesting well, and it also has plenty of room to increase the dividend over time.

Our Thoughts On Mahanagar Gas' Dividend

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Mahanagar Gas' payments are rock solid. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Mahanagar Gas (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about. Is Mahanagar Gas not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.