Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Sindhu Trade Links (NSE:SINDHUTRAD) Is Using Debt Extensively

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NSEI:SINDHUTRAD

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Sindhu Trade Links Limited (NSE:SINDHUTRAD) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Sindhu Trade Links

How Much Debt Does Sindhu Trade Links Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sindhu Trade Links had ₹14.9b in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it also had ₹786.0m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹14.1b.

NSEI:SINDHUTRAD Debt to Equity History February 9th 2024

How Healthy Is Sindhu Trade Links' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Sindhu Trade Links had liabilities of ₹14.8b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹16.6b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹786.0m in cash and ₹5.81b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹24.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Sindhu Trade Links has a market capitalization of ₹47.8b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 0.76 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 12.1 hit our confidence in Sindhu Trade Links like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Looking on the bright side, Sindhu Trade Links boosted its EBIT by a silky 31% in the last year. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Sindhu Trade Links will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Sindhu Trade Links burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Sindhu Trade Links's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Sindhu Trade Links stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Sindhu Trade Links (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.