Stock Analysis

Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By Tech Mahindra Limited's (NSE:TECHM) Earnings

NSEI:TECHM
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It's not a stretch to say that Tech Mahindra Limited's (NSE:TECHM) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in India, where the median P/E ratio is around 29x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Tech Mahindra hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

View our latest analysis for Tech Mahindra

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:TECHM Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 19th 2023
Keen to find out how analysts think Tech Mahindra's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Tech Mahindra would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 32%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 11% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 28% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's curious that Tech Mahindra's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Tech Mahindra's P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Tech Mahindra currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Having said that, be aware Tech Mahindra is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Tech Mahindra. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tech Mahindra might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.