Stock Analysis

Ducon Infratechnologies Limited's (NSE:DUCON) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

NSEI:DUCON
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Ducon Infratechnologies' (NSE:DUCON) recent performance, when its stock has declined 19% over the past month. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Specifically, we decided to study Ducon Infratechnologies' ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

Check out our latest analysis for Ducon Infratechnologies

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Ducon Infratechnologies is:

8.4% = ₹101m ÷ ₹1.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every ₹1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn ₹0.08 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Ducon Infratechnologies' Earnings Growth And 8.4% ROE

As you can see, Ducon Infratechnologies' ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 13%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. In spite of this, Ducon Infratechnologies was able to grow its net income considerably, at a rate of 48% in the last five years. Therefore, there could be other reasons behind this growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Ducon Infratechnologies' growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 25% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
NSEI:DUCON Past Earnings Growth October 22nd 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Ducon Infratechnologies is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Ducon Infratechnologies Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Given that Ducon Infratechnologies doesn't pay any regular dividends to its shareholders, we infer that the company has been reinvesting all of its profits to grow its business.

Summary

On the whole, we do feel that Ducon Infratechnologies has some positive attributes. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. To know the 3 risks we have identified for Ducon Infratechnologies visit our risks dashboard for free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.