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There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Websol Energy System's (NSE:WEBELSOLAR) Earnings
Websol Energy System Limited (NSE:WEBELSOLAR) just reported some strong earnings, and the market reacted accordingly with a healthy uplift in the share price. However, our analysis suggests that shareholders may be missing some factors that indicate the earnings result was not as good as it looked.
Zooming In On Websol Energy System's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Over the twelve months to September 2025, Websol Energy System recorded an accrual ratio of 0.45. That means it didn't generate anywhere near enough free cash flow to match its profit. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. In fact, it had free cash flow of ₹269m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of ₹2.03b. Given that Websol Energy System had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of ₹269m would seem to be a step in the right direction. One positive for Websol Energy System shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Websol Energy System.
Our Take On Websol Energy System's Profit Performance
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Websol Energy System didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Websol Energy System's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. On the bright side, the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Websol Energy System, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Websol Energy System and you'll want to know about this.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Websol Energy System's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Websol Energy System might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:WEBELSOLAR
Websol Energy System
Manufactures and sells solar photovoltaic (PV) cells and modules in India.
Excellent balance sheet with acceptable track record.
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