Stock Analysis

Prajay Engineers Syndicate (NSE:PRAENG) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

NSEI:PRAENG
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Prajay Engineers Syndicate Limited (NSE:PRAENG) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Prajay Engineers Syndicate

What Is Prajay Engineers Syndicate's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Prajay Engineers Syndicate had ₹1.64b of debt in March 2021, down from ₹1.95b, one year before. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:PRAENG Debt to Equity History July 12th 2021

How Strong Is Prajay Engineers Syndicate's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Prajay Engineers Syndicate had liabilities of ₹4.86b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹1.62b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹31.8m as well as receivables valued at ₹1.93b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹4.51b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₹1.25b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Prajay Engineers Syndicate would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Weak interest cover of 0.29 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 28.2 hit our confidence in Prajay Engineers Syndicate like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. However, the silver lining was that Prajay Engineers Syndicate achieved a positive EBIT of ₹17m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Prajay Engineers Syndicate's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent year, Prajay Engineers Syndicate recorded free cash flow of 34% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

On the face of it, Prajay Engineers Syndicate's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Prajay Engineers Syndicate has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Prajay Engineers Syndicate that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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