Stock Analysis

We Think Godrej Properties (NSE:GODREJPROP) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

NSEI:GODREJPROP
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Godrej Properties Limited (NSE:GODREJPROP) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Godrej Properties

What Is Godrej Properties's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Godrej Properties had ₹106.6b of debt, up from ₹64.1b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹47.1b, its net debt is less, at about ₹59.5b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:GODREJPROP Debt to Equity History June 1st 2024

How Strong Is Godrej Properties' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Godrej Properties had liabilities of ₹227.3b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹27.0b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹47.1b as well as receivables valued at ₹20.9b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹186.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Godrej Properties has a market capitalization of ₹772.6b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Godrej Properties's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year Godrej Properties wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 35%, to ₹30b. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate Godrej Properties's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at ₹1.7b. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled ₹14b in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Godrej Properties you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.