Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To B.A.G. Films and Media Limited (NSE:BAGFILMS) With Shares Advancing 28%

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NSEI:BAGFILMS

The B.A.G. Films and Media Limited (NSE:BAGFILMS) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 83% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, B.A.G. Films and Media's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 44.9x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 34x and even P/E's below 19x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

B.A.G. Films and Media has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for B.A.G. Films and Media

NSEI:BAGFILMS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 5th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for B.A.G. Films and Media, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is B.A.G. Films and Media's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, B.A.G. Films and Media would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 19% gain to the company's bottom line. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it concerning that B.A.G. Films and Media is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From B.A.G. Films and Media's P/E?

B.A.G. Films and Media shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of B.A.G. Films and Media revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for B.A.G. Films and Media (1 is significant!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than B.A.G. Films and Media. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if B.A.G. Films and Media might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.