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Investors Don't See Light At End Of West Coast Paper Mills Limited's (NSE:WSTCSTPAPR) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 25%
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the West Coast Paper Mills Limited (NSE:WSTCSTPAPR) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 38% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, West Coast Paper Mills may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.7x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 26x and even P/E's higher than 49x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
For example, consider that West Coast Paper Mills' financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for West Coast Paper Mills
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as West Coast Paper Mills' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 55%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 50% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
In light of this, it's understandable that West Coast Paper Mills' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From West Coast Paper Mills' P/E?
Having almost fallen off a cliff, West Coast Paper Mills' share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that West Coast Paper Mills maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - West Coast Paper Mills has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if West Coast Paper Mills might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:WSTCSTPAPR
West Coast Paper Mills
Manufactures, produces and sells pulp, paper, and paper boards in India.
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.
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