There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Supreme Industries' (NSE:SUPREMEIND) Returns On Capital
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. So while Supreme Industries ( NSE:SUPREMEIND ) has a high ROCE right now, lets see what we can decipher from how returns are changing.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Supreme Industries:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.21 = ₹9.5b ÷ (₹57b - ₹11b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023) .
Therefore, Supreme Industries has an ROCE of 21%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Chemicals industry average of 15%.
View our latest analysis for Supreme Industries
In the above chart we have measured Supreme Industries' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Supreme Industries here for free.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Supreme Industries doesn't inspire confidence. Historically returns on capital were even higher at 31%, but they have dropped over the last five years. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a related note, Supreme Industries has decreased its current liabilities to 20% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
The Bottom Line
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Supreme Industries is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And the stock has done incredibly well with a 188% return over the last five years, so long term investors are no doubt ecstatic with that result. So should these growth trends continue, we'd be optimistic on the stock going forward.
While Supreme Industries doesn't shine too bright in this respect, it's still worth seeing if the company is trading at attractive prices. You can find that out with our FREE intrinsic value estimation on our platform.
High returns are a key ingredient to strong performance, so check out our free list of stocks earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature.
We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:SUPREMEIND
Supreme Industries
Engages in the manufacture and sale of plastic products in India.
Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.