Stock Analysis

SRF Limited Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Published
NSEI:SRF

As you might know, SRF Limited (NSE:SRF) recently reported its quarterly numbers. It looks like a pretty bad result, all things considered. Although revenues of ₹34b were in line with analyst predictions, statutory earnings fell badly short, missing estimates by 30% to hit ₹6.79 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for SRF

NSEI:SRF Earnings and Revenue Growth October 25th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for SRF from 27 analysts is for revenues of ₹144.2b in 2025. If met, it would imply a reasonable 6.7% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to increase 9.9% to ₹41.87. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of ₹149.8b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹54.83 in 2025. The analysts seem less optimistic after the recent results, reducing their revenue forecasts and making a pretty serious reduction to earnings per share numbers.

The consensus price target fell 5.2% to ₹2,262, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading valuation estimates. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic SRF analyst has a price target of ₹2,938 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at ₹1,501. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 14% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 15% annual growth over the past five years. Juxtapose this against our data, which suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 13% per year. It's clear that while SRF's revenue growth is expected to continue on its current trajectory, it's only expected to grow in line with the industry itself.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for SRF. They also downgraded their revenue estimates, although as we saw earlier, forecast growth is only expected to be about the same as the wider industry. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of SRF's future valuation.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for SRF going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with SRF , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.