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There's No Escaping Hindustan Zinc Limited's (NSE:HINDZINC) Muted Earnings
Hindustan Zinc Limited's (NSE:HINDZINC) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 35x and even P/E's above 66x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Hindustan Zinc hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
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Hindustan Zinc's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 13% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 5.2% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 13% each year during the coming three years according to the twelve analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 20% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Hindustan Zinc is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Hindustan Zinc's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Hindustan Zinc that we have uncovered.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hindustan Zinc might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:HINDZINC
Hindustan Zinc
Explores for, extracts, and processes minerals in India, rest of Asia, and internationally.