Stock Analysis

Hindalco Industries' (NSE:HINDALCO) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

NSEI:HINDALCO
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Hindalco Industries Limited (NSE:HINDALCO) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 22nd of September to ₹4.00. This takes the annual payment to 1.0% of the current stock price, which unfortunately is below what the industry is paying.

Check out our latest analysis for Hindalco Industries

Hindalco Industries' Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

It would be nice for the yield to be higher, but we should also check if higher levels of dividend payment would be sustainable. Before making this announcement, Hindalco Industries was easily earning enough to cover the dividend. As a result, a large proportion of what it earned was being reinvested back into the business.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall by 25.1%. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, we estimate the payout ratio could be 10%, which is comfortable for the company to continue in the future.

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NSEI:HINDALCO Historic Dividend July 31st 2022

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2012, the dividend has gone from ₹1.50 total annually to ₹4.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 10% per annum over that time. Hindalco Industries has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. We are encouraged to see that Hindalco Industries has grown earnings per share at 47% per year over the past five years. A low payout ratio gives the company a lot of flexibility, and growing earnings also make it very easy for it to grow the dividend.

Hindalco Industries Looks Like A Great Dividend Stock

In summary, it is always positive to see the dividend being increased, and we are particularly pleased with its overall sustainability. The company is generating plenty of cash, and the earnings also quite easily cover the distributions. If earnings do fall over the next 12 months, the dividend could be buffeted a little bit, but we don't think it should cause too much of a problem in the long term. All in all, this checks a lot of the boxes we look for when choosing an income stock.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. To that end, Hindalco Industries has 3 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about. Is Hindalco Industries not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.