Stock Analysis

Why Greenpanel Industries Limited (NSE:GREENPANEL) Could Be Worth Watching

NSEI:GREENPANEL
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While Greenpanel Industries Limited (NSE:GREENPANEL) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NSEI over the last few months, increasing to ₹513 at one point, and dropping to the lows of ₹384. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Greenpanel Industries' current trading price of ₹384 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Greenpanel Industries’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Our analysis indicates that GREENPANEL is potentially undervalued!

Is Greenpanel Industries Still Cheap?

According to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Greenpanel Industries’s ratio of 16.34x is trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 14.98x, which means if you buy Greenpanel Industries today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that Greenpanel Industries should be trading at this level in the long run, then there should only be a fairly immaterial downside vs other industry peers. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Greenpanel Industries’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from Greenpanel Industries?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NSEI:GREENPANEL Earnings and Revenue Growth October 13th 2022

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Greenpanel Industries' earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 23%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? GREENPANEL’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at GREENPANEL? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on GREENPANEL, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for GREENPANEL, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. At Simply Wall St, we found 1 warning sign for Greenpanel Industries and we think they deserve your attention.

If you are no longer interested in Greenpanel Industries, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.