Stock Analysis
Cautious Investors Not Rewarding EPL Limited's (NSE:EPL) Performance Completely
It's not a stretch to say that EPL Limited's (NSE:EPL) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in India, where the median P/E ratio is around 32x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
EPL could be doing better as it's been growing earnings less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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In order to justify its P/E ratio, EPL would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.2%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 8.8% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 24% per year as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 19% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's curious that EPL's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On EPL's P/E
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that EPL currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for EPL with six simple checks.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if EPL might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:EPL
EPL
Manufactures and sells plastic packaging materials in the form of multilayer collapsible tubes, corrugated boxes, and laminates.