Stock Analysis

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Burnpur Cement Limited's (NSE:BURNPUR) Revenues Despite 26% Price Jump

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NSEI:BURNPUR

Despite an already strong run, Burnpur Cement Limited (NSE:BURNPUR) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 75%.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Burnpur Cement may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x, considering almost half of all companies in the Basic Materials industry in India have P/S ratios greater than 1.7x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

View our latest analysis for Burnpur Cement

NSEI:BURNPUR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 27th 2024

What Does Burnpur Cement's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Burnpur Cement over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Burnpur Cement will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Burnpur Cement, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Burnpur Cement would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 8.1%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 7.9% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to shrink 14% in the next 12 months, the company's positive momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a bright spot for the moment.

With this information, we find it very odd that Burnpur Cement is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can maintain its recent positive growth rate in the face of a shrinking broader industry.

What Does Burnpur Cement's P/S Mean For Investors?

Burnpur Cement's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Looking at the figures, it's surprising to see Burnpur Cement currently trades on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year revenue growth is beating forecasts for a struggling industry. We think potential risks might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio and share price. The most obvious risk is that its revenue trajectory may not keep outperforming under these tough industry conditions. While the chance of the share price dropping sharply is fairly remote, investors do seem to be anticipating future revenue instability.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Burnpur Cement (3 are a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Burnpur Cement might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.