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Investors Appear Satisfied With Birla Corporation Limited's (NSE:BIRLACORPN) Prospects As Shares Rocket 25%
Birla Corporation Limited (NSE:BIRLACORPN) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 6.9% in the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 27x, you may consider Birla as a stock to potentially avoid with its 36.1x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
We've discovered 1 warning sign about Birla. View them for free.While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Birla's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for Birla
Is There Enough Growth For Birla?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Birla would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 30%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 26% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 41% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 20% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Birla's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Birla's P/E?
The large bounce in Birla's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Birla's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Birla, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Birla, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Birla might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:BIRLACORPN
Birla
Manufactures and sells cement and clinker in India and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet average dividend payer.
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