Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Aries Agro Limited (NSE:ARIES) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Aries Agro
What Is Aries Agro's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Aries Agro had debt of ₹344.0m at the end of September 2024, a reduction from ₹525.6m over a year. On the flip side, it has ₹218.1m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹126.0m.
A Look At Aries Agro's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Aries Agro had liabilities of ₹2.37b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹501.2m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹218.1m as well as receivables valued at ₹1.37b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹1.28b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Aries Agro has a market capitalization of ₹4.20b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 0.21 and interest cover of 2.9 times, it seems to us that Aries Agro is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. We note that Aries Agro grew its EBIT by 20% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Aries Agro will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Aries Agro actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
Happily, Aries Agro's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its interest cover. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Aries Agro is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Aries Agro is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:ARIES
Aries Agro
Engages in the manufacture and supply of micronutrients and other nutritional products for plants and animals in India, Nepal, Brazil, the Netherlands, the United Arab Emirates, Taiwan, Australia, Turkey, New Zealand, and internationally.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.