Stock Analysis
Ambani Orgochem Limited (NSE:AMBANIORGO) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 25%
Ambani Orgochem Limited (NSE:AMBANIORGO) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 25% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 29% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, Ambani Orgochem may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.2x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 34x and even P/E's higher than 64x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Ambani Orgochem has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Ambani Orgochem
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Ambani Orgochem's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Ambani Orgochem would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 73% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 41% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's understandable that Ambani Orgochem's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Ambani Orgochem's P/E
Despite Ambani Orgochem's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Ambani Orgochem revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Ambani Orgochem (at least 3 which are a bit unpleasant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:AMBANIORGO
Ambani Orgochem
Manufactures, processes, imports, and supplies water based specialty chemicals in India.