Stock Analysis

Is Marico (NSE:MARICO) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:MARICO
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Marico Limited (NSE:MARICO) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Marico

How Much Debt Does Marico Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Marico had ₹3.44b of debt in September 2023, down from ₹3.93b, one year before. But it also has ₹18.0b in cash to offset that, meaning it has ₹14.6b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:MARICO Debt to Equity History December 29th 2023

A Look At Marico's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Marico had liabilities of ₹25.3b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹10.3b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹18.0b in cash and ₹11.8b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹5.79b.

Having regard to Marico's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the ₹706.6b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Marico also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Also good is that Marico grew its EBIT at 11% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Marico can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Marico has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Marico produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 79% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about Marico's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of ₹14.6b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of ₹14b, being 79% of its EBIT. So is Marico's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Marico has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Marico is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.