Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Hatsun Agro Product (NSE:HATSUN) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

NSEI:HATSUN
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Hatsun Agro Product Limited (NSE:HATSUN) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Hatsun Agro Product

What Is Hatsun Agro Product's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Hatsun Agro Product had ₹9.44b of debt, an increase on ₹8.94b, over one year. However, it also had ₹555.3m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹8.88b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:HATSUN Debt to Equity History December 16th 2020

How Strong Is Hatsun Agro Product's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hatsun Agro Product had liabilities of ₹10.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹8.48b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹555.3m as well as receivables valued at ₹176.1m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹18.5b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Hatsun Agro Product has a market capitalization of ₹169.1b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Hatsun Agro Product has net debt worth 1.5 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 3.1 times the interest expense. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. Also relevant is that Hatsun Agro Product has grown its EBIT by a very respectable 25% in the last year, thus enhancing its ability to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Hatsun Agro Product's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Hatsun Agro Product recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

Hatsun Agro Product's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to grow its EBIT is pretty flash. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Hatsun Agro Product's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Hatsun Agro Product is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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