Stock Analysis

Is Hindustan Oil Exploration Company Limited's (NSE:HINDOILEXP) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way?

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NSEI:HINDOILEXP

Hindustan Oil Exploration (NSE:HINDOILEXP) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 12% over the last week. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Hindustan Oil Exploration's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

View our latest analysis for Hindustan Oil Exploration

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hindustan Oil Exploration is:

14% = ₹1.7b ÷ ₹12b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each ₹1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made ₹0.14 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Hindustan Oil Exploration's Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

When you first look at it, Hindustan Oil Exploration's ROE doesn't look that attractive. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 13%. Even so, Hindustan Oil Exploration has shown a fairly decent growth in its net income which grew at a rate of 19%. Taking into consideration that the ROE is not particularly high, we reckon that there could also be other factors at play which could be influencing the company's growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

As a next step, we compared Hindustan Oil Exploration's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 26% in the same period.

NSEI:HINDOILEXP Past Earnings Growth January 21st 2025

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Hindustan Oil Exploration is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Hindustan Oil Exploration Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Hindustan Oil Exploration doesn't pay any regular dividends, meaning that all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which explains the fair bit of earnings growth the company has seen.

Summary

On the whole, we do feel that Hindustan Oil Exploration has some positive attributes. Specifically, its fairly high earnings growth number, which no doubt was backed by the company's high earnings retention. Still, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping a lot of benefit to the investors. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for Hindustan Oil Exploration by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hindustan Oil Exploration might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.