Stock Analysis

Symphony Limited Recorded A 7.0% Miss On Revenue: Analysts Are Revisiting Their Models

Published
NSEI:SYMPHONY

Symphony Limited (NSE:SYMPHONY) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 6.6% to ₹1,555 in the week after its latest quarterly results. Results look mixed - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at ₹3.2b, statutory earnings were in line with expectations, at ₹21.43 per share. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for Symphony

NSEI:SYMPHONY Earnings and Revenue Growth November 1st 2024

Following the latest results, Symphony's eight analysts are now forecasting revenues of ₹15.4b in 2025. This would be a decent 8.4% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to accumulate 2.6% to ₹34.83. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ₹15.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹32.01 in 2025. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of ₹1,525, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on Symphony, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at ₹1,843 and the most bearish at ₹1,032 per share. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Symphony shareholders.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The analysts are definitely expecting Symphony's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 18% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 6.7% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 17% annually. Symphony is expected to grow at about the same rate as its industry, so it's not clear that we can draw any conclusions from its growth relative to competitors.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Symphony's earnings potential next year. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at ₹1,525, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Symphony analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Symphony , and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.