Stock Analysis

Siyaram Silk Mills (NSE:SIYSIL) jumps 12% this week, though earnings growth is still tracking behind five-year shareholder returns

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NSEI:SIYSIL

When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. One great example is Siyaram Silk Mills Limited (NSE:SIYSIL) which saw its share price drive 291% higher over five years. On top of that, the share price is up 91% in about a quarter.

The past week has proven to be lucrative for Siyaram Silk Mills investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.

View our latest analysis for Siyaram Silk Mills

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Over half a decade, Siyaram Silk Mills managed to grow its earnings per share at 14% a year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 31% per year, over the same period. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

NSEI:SIYSIL Earnings Per Share Growth January 18th 2025

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Siyaram Silk Mills' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Siyaram Silk Mills' TSR for the last 5 years was 328%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Siyaram Silk Mills shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 89% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 34% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Siyaram Silk Mills (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course Siyaram Silk Mills may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.