Stock Analysis

Did You Miss Siyaram Silk Mills's (NSE:SIYSIL) 50% Share Price Gain?

NSEI:SIYSIL
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While Siyaram Silk Mills Limited (NSE:SIYSIL) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 28% in the last quarter. On the other hand the returns over the last half decade have not been bad. After all, the stock has performed better than the market (42%) in that time, and is up 50%. While the long term returns are impressive, we do have some sympathy for those who bought more recently, given the 45% drop, in the last year.

Check out our latest analysis for Siyaram Silk Mills

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Over half a decade, Siyaram Silk Mills managed to grow its earnings per share at 8.8% a year. That makes the EPS growth particularly close to the yearly share price growth of 8.5%. This indicates that investor sentiment towards the company has not changed a great deal. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

NSEI:SIYSIL Past and Future Earnings, October 15th 2019
NSEI:SIYSIL Past and Future Earnings, October 15th 2019

Dive deeper into Siyaram Silk Mills's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Siyaram Silk Mills's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Siyaram Silk Mills the TSR over the last 5 years was 58%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 2.7% in the last year, Siyaram Silk Mills shareholders lost 44% (even including dividends) . Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 9.6% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. Before forming an opinion on Siyaram Silk Mills you might want to consider these 3 valuation metrics.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IN exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.