Stock Analysis

DCM Nouvelle (NSE:DCMNVL) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

NSEI:DCMNVL
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that DCM Nouvelle Limited (NSE:DCMNVL) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for DCM Nouvelle

What Is DCM Nouvelle's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2022, DCM Nouvelle had ₹721.1m of debt, up from ₹677.1m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have ₹354.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹366.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:DCMNVL Debt to Equity History October 22nd 2022

A Look At DCM Nouvelle's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, DCM Nouvelle had liabilities of ₹694.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹472.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹354.7m as well as receivables valued at ₹380.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹431.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded DCM Nouvelle shares are worth a total of ₹2.86b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

DCM Nouvelle has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.38. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 50.4 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. It is just as well that DCM Nouvelle's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 39% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since DCM Nouvelle will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, DCM Nouvelle reported free cash flow worth 14% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

We feel some trepidation about DCM Nouvelle's difficulty EBIT growth rate, but we've got positives to focus on, too. For example, its interest cover and net debt to EBITDA give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that DCM Nouvelle is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for DCM Nouvelle you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.