Stock Analysis

TeamLease Services Limited Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

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NSEI:TEAMLEASE

As you might know, TeamLease Services Limited (NSE:TEAMLEASE) recently reported its quarterly numbers. TeamLease Services beat revenue expectations by 2.1%, at ₹28b. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in at ₹14.66, some 9.9% short of analyst estimates. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for TeamLease Services

NSEI:TEAMLEASE Earnings and Revenue Growth November 9th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for TeamLease Services from ten analysts is for revenues of ₹112.6b in 2025. If met, it would imply a meaningful 9.8% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to swell 18% to ₹73.18. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of ₹111.9b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹83.09 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become more bearish following the latest results. While there were no changes to revenue forecasts, there was a substantial drop in EPS estimates.

The consensus price target held steady at ₹3,506, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic TeamLease Services analyst has a price target of ₹4,350 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at ₹2,800. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's clear from the latest estimates that TeamLease Services' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 21% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 17% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 15% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect TeamLease Services to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for TeamLease Services. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for TeamLease Services going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for TeamLease Services you should know about.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.