Stock Analysis
Earnings Not Telling The Story For Thejo Engineering Limited (NSE:THEJO) After Shares Rise 32%
Thejo Engineering Limited (NSE:THEJO) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 32% after a shaky period beforehand. The annual gain comes to 108% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 32x, you may consider Thejo Engineering as a stock to avoid entirely with its 67x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Thejo Engineering has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Thejo Engineering
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Thejo Engineering's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Thejo Engineering's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 71% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 105% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's curious that Thejo Engineering's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Nevertheless, they may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Thejo Engineering's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Thejo Engineering revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look similar to current market expectations. Right now we are uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Thejo Engineering that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Thejo Engineering. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Thejo Engineering might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:THEJO
Thejo Engineering
Designs, develops, manufactures, and supplies, rubber and polyurethane based engineering products for bulk material handling systems, mineral processing, and corrosion protection applications in India and internationally.