Stock Analysis

Texmaco Rail & Engineering Limited (NSE:TEXRAIL) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

NSEI:TEXRAIL
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Texmaco Rail & Engineering's (NSE:TEXRAIL) recent performance, when its stock has declined 15% over the past month. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Texmaco Rail & Engineering's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for Texmaco Rail & Engineering

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Texmaco Rail & Engineering is:

6.0% = ₹860m ÷ ₹14b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every ₹1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated ₹0.06 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Texmaco Rail & Engineering's Earnings Growth And 6.0% ROE

It is hard to argue that Texmaco Rail & Engineering's ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 16%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. However, the moderate 13% net income growth seen by Texmaco Rail & Engineering over the past five years is definitely a positive. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

As a next step, we compared Texmaco Rail & Engineering's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 22% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
NSEI:TEXRAIL Past Earnings Growth March 28th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Texmaco Rail & Engineering fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Texmaco Rail & Engineering Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Texmaco Rail & Engineering's three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 16% (implying that it retains 84% of its income), which is on the lower side, so it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business.

Moreover, Texmaco Rail & Engineering is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years.

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that Texmaco Rail & Engineering has some positive attributes. Namely, its respectable earnings growth, which it achieved due to it retaining most of its profits. However, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for Texmaco Rail & Engineering by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Texmaco Rail & Engineering is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.