Stock Analysis

Rail Vikas Nigam (NSE:RVNL) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To ₹0.36

NSEI:RVNL
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Rail Vikas Nigam Limited's (NSE:RVNL) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to ₹0.36 on 27th of October. This makes the dividend yield 1.6%, which is above the industry average.

See our latest analysis for Rail Vikas Nigam

Rail Vikas Nigam's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, Rail Vikas Nigam was earning enough to cover the dividend, but free cash flows weren't positive. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.

If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 18.7% over the next 12 months. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 31% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

historic-dividend
NSEI:RVNL Historic Dividend September 1st 2023

Rail Vikas Nigam Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

The dividend hasn't seen any major cuts in the past, but the company has only been paying a dividend for 4 years, which isn't that long in the grand scheme of things. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ₹0.09 in 2019 to the most recent total annual payment of ₹2.13. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 121% a year over that time. The dividend has been growing rapidly, however with such a short payment history we can't know for sure if payment can continue to grow over the long term, so caution may be warranted.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. It's encouraging to see that Rail Vikas Nigam has been growing its earnings per share at 19% a year over the past five years. A low payout ratio and decent growth suggests that the company is reinvesting well, and it also has plenty of room to increase the dividend over time.

Our Thoughts On Rail Vikas Nigam's Dividend

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Rail Vikas Nigam will make a great income stock. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for Rail Vikas Nigam you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.